27 comments
56 forecasters
Will Omicron XE be the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant in the US before June 19, 2022?
2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Apr 18, 2022
Closes:Jul 5, 2022
Resolved:Jul 5, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
1% chance
268
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?
40% chance
65
Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?
2.2% chance
69