61 forecasters

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024?

10%chance

10%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 10% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 30, 2022

Closes:

Aug 1, 2022

Resolved:

Nov 5, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 30, 2022

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Don’t let Buttigieg or any other Biden-decline denier claw back their credibility

New York Post•Sep 16, 2025

Pete Buttigieg says Biden 'should not have run' for reelection in 2024

USA Today•Sep 15, 2025

Mayor Pete Shows Up 'Too Late' for the Party, and Try Not to Laugh: 'Biden Should Not Have Run'

Red State•Sep 15, 2025

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