8 comments
25 forecasters
Will Praxis Society have built a physical city with at least 1,000 full-time residents by 2040?
10%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 29, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 11, 2022
Will Próspera at any point before 2035 have at least 10,000 residents?
5% chance
77
When will the first privately governed charter city have 10,000 residents?
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
Apr 2060
(Nov 2044 - Mar 2070)
3 forecasters
What will be the population of Próspera in 2035?
<100 people
(<100 - 514)
<100 people
(<100 - 514)
80 forecasters