46
235 forecasters
Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?
7%chance
Top Key Factors
Political repercussions
Decreases Likelihood
Textualist interpretation
Increases Likelihood
test2
Decreases Likelihood
Institutional and doctrinal hurdles
Decreases Likelihood
Legitimacy risk
Decreases Likelihood
Court seems to have an appetite for big cases
Increases Likelihood
test
Increases Likelihood