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7
73
forecasters
17
7 comments
73 forecasters
Computing and Math
1 more...
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
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Current estimate
Apr 2048
Apr 2048
(Feb 2034 - 2086)
Forecast Timeline
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Forecast Timeline
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Comments (7)
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21%
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Existential risk from AGI vs AGI timelines
2022-10-10 to 2024-12-31
20%
2025-01-01 to 2029-12-31
40%
2030-01-01 to 2039-12-31
28%
2040-01-01 to 2059-12-31
15%
2060-01-01 to 2099-12-31
9.3%