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Russian Equipment Losses in 2022

Ukraine Conflict


Related Question on Metaculus:

There is an open-source intelligence site Attack On Europe: Documenting Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine documenting equipment losses by the Russian Army in the Ukraine war.

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.

As of April 11, the confirmed number of lost equipment of the Russian Army was 2746.

How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Russia in 2022?

The individual subquestions will resolve as the number of total Russian equipment losses between the end of the previous period and the "period ending" for the given subquestion, according to Oryx. The most recent update on the resolution day will be used. You can find a tracking spreadsheet here (source).

The first subquestion May 1, 2022 period starts with the value from 21.04.2022 16:00 UTC, which is 3068.

For example, if on May 1, 2022 Oryx shows the losses listed as:

Russia - 3543, of which: destroyed: ..., damaged: ..., abandoned: ..., captured: ...

the subquestion would resolve as 475 (as 3543-3068=475).

Similarly, If May 1, 2022 got resolved as 475 (with 3543 being the cumulative total) and May 29, 2022 goes to 3952 cumulative losses, the latter will be resolved as 409 (3952-3543=409).

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