Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
14
447
forecasters
13
14 comments
447 forecasters
Ukraine Conflict
3 more...
Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024?
Follow
share
embed
Resolved
No
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (14)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
17 comments
224 forecasters
Ukraine takes control of Donetsk and Luhansk?
4%
chance
14 comments
111 forecasters
Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?
99%
chance
7 comments
92 forecasters
Will Zelenskyy cede land for peace?
25%
chance
171 comments
390 forecasters
End of Ukraine conflict
Current estimate
16 Sep 2027
18 comments
104 forecasters
Ukrainian control of cities January 1st, 2027
Nova Kakhovka
5%
Polohy
2.8%
Tokmak
1.5%
Sievierodonetsk
1%
10 others
94 comments
189 forecasters
Russian control of cities January 1, 2027
Ivanivske
99%
Velyka Novosilka
99%
Kostyantynivka
80%
Druzhkivka
34%
12 others
13 comments
82 forecasters
Moldova Controls Transnistria before 2028
20%
chance
18 comments
153 forecasters
Ukraine Joins Russian Union State before 2040
2%
chance