348 forecasters

Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 20, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 20, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

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