101 comments
658 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024?
0.1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 20, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolved:Dec 31, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022