Question
When will Germany elect a new Chancellor?
Total Forecasters41
Community Prediction
27 Apr 2025
(16 Mar 2025 - 10 Jul 2025)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 16 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 27 Apr 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 Jul 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >02 Jan 2030 | 2.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 28, 2022