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Ukraine Equipment Losses in 2022

Ukraine Conflict

Question

Related Question on Metaculus:


There is an open-source intelligence site Attack On Europe: Documenting Ukrainian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine documenting equipment losses by the Ukraine Army in the Ukraine war.

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.

As of April 22, the confirmed number of lost equipment of the Ukraine Army was 874.

How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine in 2022?

The individual subquestions will resolve as the number of total Ukraine equipment losses between the end of the previous period and the "Period Ending" for the given subquestion, according to Oryx. The most recent update on the resolution day will be used. You can find a tracking spreadsheet here (source).

The first subquestion May 1, 2022 period starts with the value from 21.04.2022 16:00 UTC, which is 874.

For example, if on May 1, 2022 Oryx shows the losses listed as:

Ukraine - 1200, of which: destroyed: ..., damaged: ..., abandoned: ..., captured: ...

the subquestion would resolve as 326 (as 1200-874=326).

Similarly, If May 1, 2022 got resolved as 326 (with 1200 being the cumulative total) and May 29, 2022 goes to 1500 cumulative losses, the latter will be resolved as 300 (1500-1200=300).

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