Group

How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022?

25 comments25

97 forecasters

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Resolved

Forecast Timeline

May 1, 2022

May 29, 2022

Jun 26, 2022

Jul 24, 2022

Aug 21, 2022

Authors:

daniel-hnyk

Opened:

Apr 19, 2022

Closes:

Aug 21, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 22, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24, 2025

•Jun 25, 2025

Ukraine's drone pilots are overhauling which Russian targets they think matter most, and tanks have fallen far from the top

Business Insider•Jun 25, 2025

‘Stressful and difficult summer’ ahead for Ukraine, NATO official warns

Defense One•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

85%

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

9507

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?

Authors:

daniel-hnyk

Opened:

Apr 19, 2022

Closes:

Aug 21, 2022

Resolves:

Aug 22, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 24, 2025

•Jun 25, 2025

Ukraine's drone pilots are overhauling which Russian targets they think matter most, and tanks have fallen far from the top

Business Insider•Jun 25, 2025

‘Stressful and difficult summer’ ahead for Ukraine, NATO official warns

Defense One•Jun 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

85%

How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years?

9507

Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?