Question

Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to adenovirus infection?

Resolved:Yes

8 comments8

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction

55%

(49.9% - 62%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

23.4

Community Baseline Score

39.7

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 26, 2022

Closes:

Mar 31, 2023

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 28, 2022

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will any HHS study claim to show evidence of a link between vaccines and autism before January 21, 2029?

11%

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 26, 2022

Closes:

Mar 31, 2023

Resolves:

Mar 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 28, 2022

Health & Pandemics

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Will any HHS study claim to show evidence of a link between vaccines and autism before January 21, 2029?

11%

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

66%