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24
45
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45 forecasters
Elections
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Will David Segal win the RI-2 Democratic primary?
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No
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51%
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Georgia
83%
Iowa
37%
Maine
70%
Michigan
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19 others
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66%
chance
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Will AOC primary Chuck Schumer for U.S. Senate in NY by Jan. 1, 2029?
50%
chance
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1st Senators from Puerto Rico both Republican
15%
chance
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Democratic Socialist Congresspeople in 2031
Current estimate
13.2 congresspeople
0 comments
93 forecasters
2 US governor/Senator candidates not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
18%
2027-2028
26%
0 comments
9 forecasters
What will Dems' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on June 14, 2026?
Current estimate
7.16%