295 forecasters

Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?

28%chance

28%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 28% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 15, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2020

Resolved:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2018

Economy & Business

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Elon Musk’s Tesla investment is a big gamble

Spectator (UK)•Sep 16, 2025

Elon Musk has nearly recovered the billions in wealth he lost earlier this year

Business Insider•Sep 16, 2025

Pope Leo rips Tesla’s proposed $1 trillion mega pay package for Elon Musk: ‘We are in big trouble’

New York Post•Sep 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US government file a denaturalization lawsuit against Elon Musk before July 1, 2026?

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?