295 forecasters

Will Elon Musk (eventually) lose his appeal?

28%chance

28%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 28% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 15, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2020

Resolved:

Feb 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 15, 2018

Economy & Business

Social Sciences

🏆 2016-2025 Leaderboard

Musk’s rollercoaster year: From boycotts and plunging earnings to a potential trillion-dollar payday

Associated Press•Oct 24, 2025

Critics of $1 trillion payday for Elon Musk are ‘corporate terrorists,’ Tesla CEO says

New York Post•Oct 23, 2025

Elon Musk said he wants to stop ‘corporate terrorists’ from wresting control of Tesla

CNN•Oct 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025?

Will Elon Musk be removed as the Chief Executive Officer of Tesla before 2027?

When will Elon Musk cease to be sole CEO of Tesla?

(10 Dec 2027 - >01 Jan 2030)

(10 Dec 2027 - >01 Jan 2030)