Question
How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024?
Resolved:Below lower boundTotal Forecasters192
Community Prediction
<1
(<1 - <1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1 | 80.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <1 | — |
| median | <1 | — |
| upper 75% | <1 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5 | 0.5% | — |
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
117.5
Community Peer Score
41.5
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 29, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 29, 2022