170 forecasters

Will Russia's total territory decrease by at least 20% before 2028?

1%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

Apr 28, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2028

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 28, 2022

Russia’s Dramatic Pivot: Gas Pipeline Signals Subordination To China

Forbes•Sep 11, 2025

Trump’s economic team pursues the chimera of collapsing the Russian economy

Strategic Culture•Sep 10, 2025

Russia Is Losing the War—Just Not to Ukraine

Atlantic•Sep 10, 2025

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