Question

Will the 7-day moving average of current confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia cross 2,000 before July 22, 2022?

Resolved:No

4 comments4

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction

16%

(15% - 24%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

77.8

Community Peer Score

9.0

Authors:

srinivv

Opened:

Apr 29, 2022

Closes:

May 20, 2022

Resolves:

Jul 27, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

May 1, 2022

Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making

Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%