204 comments

802 forecasters

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1%chance

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Authors:

Opened:

May 2, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

May 4, 2022

Donald Trump could sue several critics out of existence

Canary•Sep 17, 2025

Trump says his Georgia election interference case ‘should now be dead for good’ after Fani Willis loses appeal

Independent•Sep 17, 2025

Can Trump run for president again? Two Supreme Court justices are skeptical

USA Today•Sep 11, 2025

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