Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
6
comments
50
forecasters
Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?
50%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
May 2, 2022
Closes:
Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:
May 4, 2022
Verity
Politics
News Match
Initial Data Suggest Decrease In Black Freshman At Selective Colleges
Forbes
•
Oct 27, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?
68.6%
chance
105
Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?
0.1%
chance
360
Will the US Admit a New State to the Union before 2036?
12%
chance
9
Show More Questions