136 forecasters

Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022?

20%chance

20%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 20% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 5, 2022

Closes:

May 8, 2022

Resolved:

May 10, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

May 5, 2022

🏆 2022 Leaderboard

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