M

Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

Pending

This question now needs to be reviewed by Community Moderators.

We have high standards for question quality. We also favor questions on our core topic areas or that we otherwise judge valuable. We may not publish questions that are not a good fit.

If your question has not received attention within a week, or is otherwise pressing, you may request review by tagging @moderators in a comment.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

{{qctrl.question.title}}

{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
{{"myPredictionLabel" | translate}}:  
{{ qctrl.question.resolutionString() }}
{{qctrl.question.predictionCount() | abbrNumber}} predictions
My score: {{qctrl.question.player_log_score | logScorePrecision}}
Created by: hyperflare and
co-authors , {{coauthor.username}}
Flourishing Futures Trustworthy News Ukraine Conflict Improve the News Red Lines in Ukraine

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Kherson (Херсо́н) is a city of 280,000 people in the south of Ukraine, and the administrative center of Kherson Oblast. It's a port with access to both the Black Sea and the Dnipro River (including a bridge crossing).

On March 2, 2022, the city fell under Russian control in the wake of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 6 days after the war began. As of May 4, 2022, Kherson is the only capital city of one of Ukraine's provinces to have fallen since the invasion began on February 24, 2022.

Russia has made moves for a long-term occupation, including changing the currency to ruble, and preparing to hold a referendum to create a splinter republic in the model of the DPR and LPR.

Since taking Kherson, Russian forces have failed to push West towards Odessa, nor have they managed to take the city of Mykolaiv to the Northwest of Kherson. Russian forces did make progress on the right (western) bank of the Dnipro, capturing the entirety of Kherson Oblast.

As the Russian offensive in the war shifts focus towards the Donbas front, it appears that Ukrainian forces are progressing at pushing back Russian troops elsewhere, including the front near Kherson, putting a possible liberation of the city in the cards.