Question
When (if ever) will the Arctic be essentially ice-free?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
>Jul 2040
(May 2035 - >Jul 2040)
Make a Prediction
CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <13 Jul 2020 | 1.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | May 2035 | — |
| median | >Jul 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jul 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jul 2040 | 57.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2018
Closed:Jul 23, 2018
Scheduled resolution:Sep 30, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2018
Closed:Jul 23, 2018
Scheduled resolution:Sep 30, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 7, 2018