Question
When will China first reach 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases per day?
Resolved:12 Dec 2022Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
20 Mar 2023
(15 Dec 2022 - >02 Jan 2024)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 Dec 2022 | — |
| median | 20 Mar 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | >02 Jan 2024 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >02 Jan 2024 | 32.8% | — |
What was the final result?12 Dec 2022
Community Baseline Score
-6.1
Community Peer Score
47.6
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 18, 2022
Authors:
Opened:May 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 18, 2022