13 forecasters

In what percent of US states will capital punishment be legal in 2035?

Current estimate

41.4%

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Authors:

Opened:

May 19, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

May 21, 2022

The Killing of Charlie Kirk Puts the US Death Penalty in Focus Again

Bloomberg•Sep 13, 2025

How the death penalty could factor into any prosecution of Charlie Kirk’s killer

MSNBC•Sep 11, 2025

Capital Crimes, Capital Punishment: Considering the Ultimate Penalty

Red State•Sep 10, 2025

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