Question
In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?
Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
52.4%
(43.5% - 61.7%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 43.47% | — |
| median | 52.4% | — |
| upper 75% | 61.65% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 19, 2022
Closes:Apr 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2022
Authors:
Opened:May 19, 2022
Closes:Apr 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:May 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2022
