108 comments
361 forecasters
Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?
0.1%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:May 19, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2022
Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?
10% chance
233
Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
50% chance
8
Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
1.4k