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61 comments
56 forecasters

[Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard?

community
4M
result
8.35M
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
ok
Opened:May 24, 2022
Closes:May 31, 2022
Resolved:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2022
Verity
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Daily Mail logo
Ioan Gruffudd's bitter feud with ex-wife heads to trial as he claims she pleads poverty...but splashes cash on ritzy Europe trips
Daily Mail•Sep 16, 2025
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Blake Lively wants Justin Baldoni to pay millions of dollars for filing frivolous defamation suit
Independent•Sep 9, 2025
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Will Donald Trump pay his settlement to E. Jean Carroll before January 20, 2029?

10% chance
7

What will be the outcome of Disney and Universal's copyright lawsuit against Midjourney?

The case is settled
33.2%
Other ruling
23.3%
Disney/Universal win ≥$50m
20.1%
2 others
5 forecasters

Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?

9% chance
83
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