31 comments
131 forecasters
How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2022
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Jan 18, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 28, 2022
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
55% chance
136
Will anyone other than the Democratic or Republican nominee win a state in the 2028 US presidential election?
1% chance
21
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
Nov 2059
(Sep 2047 - >2100)
Nov 2059
(Sep 2047 - >2100)
13 forecasters