86 forecasters

How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

Latest estimate

272

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

May 19, 2022

Closed:

Dec 31, 2022

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 12, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 20, 2022

Mpox (Monkeypox)

Health & Pandemics

🏆 2022 Leaderboard

California records more local cases of new deadlier mpox strain as expert warns virus could spread to more states

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2025

Three cases of severe mpox reported in California, health officials say

Guardian•Oct 21, 2025

Officials announce first known cases of severe mpox strain spreading in US

USA Today•Oct 18, 2025

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