Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

18 forecasters

6

18 forecasters

Who will be Prime Minister of France on July 10, 2022?

Élisabeth Borneresult: Yes

Jean-Luc Mélenchonresult: No

Marine Le Penresult: No

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

77 comments300 forecasters

2027 French Presidential Elections

Jordan Bardella23.2%

Édouard Philippe22.3%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon10.6%

4 comments32 forecasters

Will France officially announce a 6th Republic before June 2027?

46 comments280 forecasters

Macron no longer President before 2027?

4 comments18 forecasters

When will France transition to a Sixth Republic?

Current estimate

2 comments27 forecasters

Who will be the Israeli Prime Minister following the election for the 26th Knesset?

Benjamin Netanyahu29.2%

Naftali Bennett45.5%

Yair Lapid6.8%

7 comments8 forecasters

Next UN Secretary General?

Rafael Grossi25.6%

Michelle Bachelet25.6%

Rebeca Grynspan25.6%

1 comment22 forecasters

Coalition wins next Australian federal election? (2028)

3 comments23 forecasters

Which Italian Party Will Win the Most Seats?

Brothers of Italy70%

Democratic Party24%

Five Star Movement1.7%