Question

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

Resolved:No

14 comments14

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction

21%

(16% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.1

Community Peer Score

9.6

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Mar 1, 2016

Closes:

Jun 1, 2016

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 1, 2016

Natural Sciences

Space

2016 Leaderboard

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

38%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

16%

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Mar 1, 2016

Closes:

Jun 1, 2016

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2017

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 1, 2016

Natural Sciences

Space

2016 Leaderboard

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

38%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030?

16%