Question

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters134

Community Prediction

53%

(49% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 53%

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Authors:

jackmgaller

Opened:

May 7, 2023

Closes:

Nov 7, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 20, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

May 9, 2023

Politics

Elections

2028 looks like trouble for Democrats — and Republicans are poised to capitalize

FOX News•Aug 29, 2025

Gavin Newsom's 2028 Chances Jump After Trolling Offensive Against Trump

Newsweek•Aug 23, 2025

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