23 comments
87 forecasters
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
Current estimate
28 Jun 2026
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Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2022
Closes:May 27, 2027
Scheduled resolution:May 28, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
When will the next Ukrainian presidential election be held?
20 forecasters
Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?
2% chance
195
When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?
05 Apr 2026
(28 Jun 2025 - 23 Mar 2027)
05 Apr 2026
(28 Jun 2025 - 23 Mar 2027)
21 forecasters