34 comments
301 forecasters
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?
5%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022
