27 comments
281 forecasters
Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?
99%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 5, 2022
Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?
99.8% chance
414
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
97% chance
173
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
76 forecasters