85 comments
341 forecasters
Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2022
Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?
0.1% chance
129
Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
20% chance
91
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
09 Apr 2029
(01 Jun 2027 - Jun 2031)
09 Apr 2029
(01 Jun 2027 - Jun 2031)
18 forecasters