Question

Will Ontario's Conservative Party (PC) win the a majority in the election on 2022-06-02?

Resolved:Yes

7 comments7

Total Forecasters19

Community Prediction

85%

(84% - 86%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

80.2

Community Peer Score

1.6

Authors:

thatMikeBishop

Opened:

Jun 2, 2022

Closes:

Jun 3, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 3, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 2, 2022

Elections

2022 Leaderboard

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

0.5%

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.995

Authors:

thatMikeBishop

Opened:

Jun 2, 2022

Closes:

Jun 3, 2022

Resolves:

Jun 3, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 2, 2022

Elections

2022 Leaderboard

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026?

0.5%

How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election?

0.995