49 comments
276 forecasters
If there is a successful Russian cyberattack on US infrastructure in 2022, which system(s) will be attacked?
CommunicationsAmbiguous
Banking/FinanceAmbiguous
Electrical gridAmbiguous
Authors:
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Will a cyberattack targeting AI systems cause a significant power blackout in the United States before 2028?
9% chance
31
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25 forecasters
Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
40 forecasters