Question
How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?
Resolved:9Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction
8.56
(7.94 - 9.02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <3.5 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 7.941 | — |
| median | 8.559 | — |
| upper 75% | 9.018 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10.5 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?9
Community Baseline Score
-37.6
Community Peer Score
113.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 11, 2022
