5 comments
4 forecasters
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolved:Jun 26, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2022
When will the last Metaculus question resolution occur?
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
Aug 2048
(May 2033 - 2121)
109 forecasters
Will Bitcoin’s price drop below 50% of its highest recorded price at any point before 2040?
90% chance
30
When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
Nov 2030
(27 Jul 2026 - Mar 2040)
181 forecasters