19 comments
57 forecasters
Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?
5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 5% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 2, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolved:May 3, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 4, 2022
Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? (2028)
20% chance
12
When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?
60% chance
28
Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?
8% chance
11