Question
When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?
Resolved:02 Oct 2023 08:00Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
24 Jan 2025
(31 Jan 2024 - 27 Jul 2026)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 31 Jan 2024 | — |
| median | 24 Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Jul 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2033 | 4.4% | — |
What was the final result?02 Oct 2023 08:00
Community Baseline Score
19.0
Community Peer Score
25.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 18, 2022