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4 comments
91 forecasters

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

Type III70%
Type II66.5%
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
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Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?

80% chance
24

In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?

Mar 2032
(01 Aug 2029 - Apr 2036)
Mar 2032
(01 Aug 2029 - Apr 2036)
3 forecasters

Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?

20% chance
17
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