4 comments
91 forecasters
Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
Type III70%
Type II66.5%
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80% chance
24
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Mar 2032
(01 Aug 2029 - Apr 2036)
Mar 2032
(01 Aug 2029 - Apr 2036)
3 forecasters
Will there be an FDA-approved cure for Type 1 diabetes before January 1, 2032?
20% chance
17