176 forecasters

Will a scientific mission to the outer solar system be assigned to the Falcon Heavy by mid-2023?

52%chance

52%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 52% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 25, 2018

Closes:

Jul 31, 2020

Resolved:

Jul 23, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 26, 2018

2016-2025 Leaderboard

SpaceX Targets an Orbital Starship Flight With a Next-Gen Vehicle in 2026

Wired•Sep 10, 2025

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