Question
When will Jeff Bezos first land on the moon?
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
Jan 2047
(Jun 2037 - >Jan 2050)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2037 | — |
| median | Jan 2047 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2050 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 43.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 24, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 24, 2022