63 comments
249 forecasters
Before 2023, will Joe Biden announce that he will not run for president in 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 11, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2022
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Will Sam Altman run for President of the United States before 2040?
1% chance
21
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
40% chance
82
What will be the mean age of the next 5 US Presidents from 2022 to 2040?
64.5 years
(59.5 - 70)
64.5 years
(59.5 - 70)
28 forecasters