Question

Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters187

Community Prediction

76%

(64% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 76%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jun 23, 2022

Closed:

Jan 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2032

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 25, 2022

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The Drug That Could Revolutionize the Fight Against H.I.V.

New Yorker•Jun 24, 2025

FDA approves HIV drug based on University of Utah biochemist's findings

•Jun 24, 2025

6 things to know about lenacapavir, what experts call a ‘wonder drug’ for preventing HIV

PBS NewsHour•Jun 21, 2025

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