Question
Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?
Total Forecasters189
Community Prediction
76%
(64% - 85%)
Make a Prediction
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2022
Closed:Jan 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2022
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Mar 2032
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80%
When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?
23 Oct 2028
Authors:
Opened:Jun 23, 2022
Closed:Jan 1, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2022
In what year will an HIV vaccine demonstrating at least 50% efficacy in Phase III clinical trials receive regulatory approval (e.g., from the FDA or EMA) for widespread use?
Mar 2032
Will a new tuberculosis vaccine be approved by the FDA, EMA, or PMDA before 2028?
80%
When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?
23 Oct 2028