112 forecasters

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election?

Labourresult: 411

Conservativeresult: 121

Liberal Democratresult: 72

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrat

Authors:

adamcorlett casens

Opened:

Aug 19, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 7, 2024

Elections

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

Britain’s two-party politics is fragmenting: what unintended consequences await? | Andy Beckett

Guardian•Nov 6, 2025

The Dutch Left Had Its Worst Performance Ever

Jacobin•Nov 4, 2025

The Coalition have a better chance of winning by chasing teal voters over One Nation voters

Guardian•Nov 2, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (2029)

Who will win the next UK Labour Party Leadership Election?

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?